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Martin's Weekly Weather Report

Monday 25 Sep, 2017 - Sunday 29 Oct, 2017

Martin Babakhan Long term analysis for October to December. For full analysis click the play button below

Listen to the full report.

Local Current Radar Weather from

Bureau of Meteorology

Lightning Information and precautions - Click here

Stepped Leader Lightning is a hazardous and menacing lightning - find out more by clicking here

Monthly Water Update - click here

Fire Danger Information from NSW Rural Fire Service - Click Here

Monthly Climate and Water Outlook

video covers rainfall, streamflow and temperature for the next three months and beyond.

Please note our ENSO Tracker is updated every two weeks. Check www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/tracker to see its current status.

Summary of El Nino in Australia click here


ENSO Tracker

Official status of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation   CLICK HERE

Enso Tracker Article 2014

How to Save 100Mt C - of the 6,800 MtC released annually from combustion of oil, gas and coal - by Martin Babakhan

Education web-link -

CSIRO offers science programs and resources for schools, special events around Australia and a great range of at-home science for all ages - Click here

Global Warming -

Your questions answered - Click Here

For a comprehensive picture of climate science, and a complete review of global warming and climate change, please see “Earth Observatory Global Warming Fact-sheet below. http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/GlobalWarming/

Climate Q&A

NASA Earth science research Browse all questions  


Ten deadly weather signs

This is of great interest to and a great tool for:

  • Community
  • Firefighters
  • SES Personal
  • Local Goverment
  • Police.


The Challenge:
Because of the complexity of the atmosphere processes and the impossibility of taking into account every scale of motion in the atmosphere, it is rare that a forecast can be made with absolute certainty. The forecast is always a statement of the most probable outcome based on the available data and computer model output.

Weather is a complicated combination of factors. Knowing whether enough factors are present to produce severe conditions is very difficult, and those conditions can change quickly. This is why it is so important for you to be prepared for a range of possible weather scenarios, to understand your local area operations vulnerabilities, and to make sure all your information is up-to-date

Learning outcome:
You will develop the skill needed to visualise a complete weather situation.
Understand its causes and evolution.
Anticipate the occurrence of weather hazards.
You should be able to make a clear and informed decision based on the weather analysis.

Download Ten Deadly Weather Signs Powerpoint presentation

 Martin Babakhan

Articles and Resources

Extended Weather Outlook for Farming Industry by Martin Babakhan December 2017

Extreme  Seasonal weather outlook for agriculture (Sept 2017)

Extreme weather events have major implications for agricultural productivity and output. For example:  Droughts, Heatwaves can cause extreme heat stress in crops, which can limit yields if they occur during certain stages of a plant’s life-cycle.

Heavy rains lead to flooding which can waterlog and kill plants, as well as erode topsoil from prime growing areas, resulting in irreversible habitat damage.

Heavy winds combined with rain (e.g. extreme cyclonic low and severe thunderstorms) can down large trees, damage houses, barns and other structures involved in agriculture. production.

 I have developed Seasonal weather outlook for farming community for your attention. Click Here

New Weather Outlook September 2017

The SST forecast shows weak La Nina conditions for Oct-Dec through Jan-Mar, weakening slightly for Jan- Mar. The subtropical North Pacific SST and the SST in many of the other extratropical regions are predicted  to be above average during all four forecast seasons. A slightly positive Indian Ocean Dipole is predicted for  Oct-Dec through Dec-Feb, weakening for the later seasons.

Enhanced chances  for above-normal precipitation are forecast for  most of Indonesia and parts of  eastern Australia from Oct-Dec through Jan-MarClick here for more information

Read this special report which looks at the domino effect of environmental and atmospheric factors that drive the globe to wetter, hotter, drier and colder extremes.


El Nino likely past it's peak - Click Here for full article

Using Decision Support Tools To Manage Climate Risk - by martin babakhan

Click Here for full presentation.

Extreme Fire Behaviour

Extreme fire behavior results when several of the components of the fire environment interact to cause the rate of spread of the fire to increase by 60 times or greater.

Situations in which abundant fuels with sufficiently low moisture values are located on a steep slope and combine with strong winds and unstable atmospheric conditions can lead to extreme fire behavior.

Each of the conditions can potentially increase fire behavior, so when all of these conditions occur at the same time, the potential danger increases significantly.  For more...click here

Putting climate services into the farmers' hands - New Video

As an ‘El Niño’ climate event heats up in the Pacific, the spotlight is on how we can prepare for the weather and climate shifts that may be in store. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a kind of pendulum in the global climate system, swinging back and forth on a 2-7 year cycle, bringing drought to some areas of the globe and heavy rains to others. The ENSO cycle is a major reason why scientists can make forecasts of rainfall and temperature several months ahead of time, known as the seasonal timescale. The stronger the ENSO ‘signal’ in a given year, the more reliable the forecast will be.

While the potential for climate services is great, they don’t yet reach most of the farmers who need them. Key challenges confront efforts to put climate services into farmers’ hands.

El Niño - Is 2014 the New 1997?

Science AtNASA·161 videos https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaxPwASV2kY

NASA is about to launch a satellite dedicated to the study of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide. The Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2) will quantify global CO2 sources and sinks, and help researchers predict the future of climate change.  What the video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZtXdBBzJyA&feature=youtu.be

Our Changing Planet

- A Report to the American nation

Click here to view report

A publication of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research

IPCC warns climate chaos will worsen, harming Australia's economy - Read this article from the SMH via this LINK

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/ipcc-warns-climate-chaos-will-worsen-harming-australias-economy-20140322-35a4g.html#ixzz2wwkfh3bp


Sharing weather observations online just got easier. WOW — the Weather Observations Websiteis a free online weather community for you to view and share real-time weather information and photos. Click Here


Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability

The Working Group II (WGII) contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability will be considered in Yokohama, Japan, on 25-29 March 2014 Click Here to Visit the Website

Weather and Fire Behavior Training
Southeast Australia - Click Here for Article

Microclimate Variation in the Stroud Gloucester Valley - report compiled by The Gloucester Project

Click here to see to see the report 

Northwest cloud bands - Fully active northwest cloud bands usually occur at least twice a year, but their frequency may be greater in some years. Connected with upper trough/upper low. Click Here for whole Article

Click here for Satelite NorthWest Cloud Band Images


What is "Supercell Thunderstorm"?

RAINFALL DECLINE - South-eastern Australia continues to experience severe deficiencies at the 7-month (October 2012 to April 2013) timescale, although the focus of these deficiencies has shifted into Victoria and Tasmania, and now include substantial regions of lowest-on-record rainfall in agricultural regions (click here to see map).

The global agriculture system faces a rapidly growing challenge: in the coming decades it must feed a substantially larger population amidst an increasingly volatile and shifting climate. Click here for more information.

Green Energy PictureThree Element Energy Ethanol Plant Enzymatic Technology - Martin Babakhan explains, Click for Presentation


Understanding ClimateClick on the banner to see a "Understanding Climate" presentation

PARTICULATES AND HEALTH - Click here for article from Martin

Please click the link below for presentations for our youth in Gloucester.


 1.             Climate change and the Red Cross / Red Crescent presentation

  • What’s happening?
  • How does it affect us?
  • What can we do?

2.             Youth on move: What is climate change?

3.             Fragile Earth magazine

Climate Change Children's Book - Click Here

Climate Change Book for Youth aged 10 to 14 Here

Heat Index - click here

Thermal Comfort and Stress- Heat Index or Apparent Temperature module for your attention: 1.One measure of thermal comfort which is commonly used is the Apparent Temperature. 2.This is dependent on the temperature, relative humidity and wind speed as well as the clothing worn by a person. 3.We can issued thermal comfort and stress advised for the community to drink plenty of water when this index exceeded 38C.

Fire Weather Forecasting

Click here for feature article

Australian Air Mass

Click here for feature article

Hidden Dangers of Killer Lightning. Click here to read the article

How You Can Join the Storm Spotter Network

Students Air Quality Test Kit


Useful Links

→ Australian Bureau of Meteorology Radar (National)

→ Australian Bureau of Meteorology Pressure: 4 Day Forecast